The Infrastructure Layer Is Where the Smart Money Is Moving
May 15, 2025

The AI boom is already here, but most of the market is still focused on a handful of giants. While investors crowd into Nvidia, Microsoft, and other headline names, a growing share of capital is now shifting toward something less visible — the companies that keep AI running behind the scenes.

These aren’t speculative plays. They’re real businesses building the systems, hardware, and logistics AI depends on. And they’re gaining traction quickly.

The Backbone That’s Powering AI’s Expansion

Every AI function — from natural language models to autonomous systems — requires a web of technology that extends far beyond the software. Small-cap firms are delivering the infrastructure, bandwidth, and thermal solutions that the big names can’t scale alone.

Fiber optics are a good place to start. AI workloads demand huge increases in data transfer speeds. According to Dell’Oro Group, AI data centers require ten times more bandwidth than traditional cloud setups. Companies like Applied Optoelectronics and Infinera are already providing the hardware to meet that need.

Thermal efficiency is becoming a bottleneck. AI training generates enormous heat, and data centers can’t operate at full capacity without better cooling. The International Energy Agency reports that AI data centers could consume up to 4 percent of global electricity by 2030. Modine Manufacturing, a company focused on precision cooling systems, is positioned to support the next generation of AI infrastructure.

Optical components are another critical piece. Lasers are used in semiconductor production, industrial AI applications, and navigation systems like LiDAR. Coherent, a specialist in laser-based technologies, is tied to that demand. With the global photonics market expected to grow to $1.44 trillion by 2030, the runway for growth is significant.

Institutions Are Already Buying In

Investors are starting to notice. According to CB Insights, $29.1 billion was invested into AI infrastructure startups in 2024, up 75 percent year-over-year. These are not speculative bets. They’re targeted moves into companies that support the scaling of AI in the real world.

Hedge funds and private equity firms are building positions in optical networking, thermal tech, and advanced chip supply chains. Their reasoning is straightforward — the big tech firms will fight for dominance, but the infrastructure providers will profit no matter who wins.

Acquisitions Are Just Getting Started

The next phase is likely consolidation. Large tech companies are not going to leave these infrastructure layers unprotected. The pattern is familiar. In the early days of cloud computing, firms like Amazon, Google, and Microsoft acquired dozens of backend providers. The same is beginning to play out in AI.

In the last 12 months alone, more than $50 billion in AI-related acquisitions have been announced. Targets include chip design startups, optical hardware firms, and automation platforms — all foundational to scaling AI beyond research labs and into commercial use.

Time Is Not on Retail’s Side

This isn’t a long runway. As AI becomes more embedded in every sector, competition for these infrastructure providers will accelerate. BlackRock, Vanguard, and other large asset managers have already begun increasing exposure to the sector. Smaller investors may not have much time before prices re-rate or the best names are acquired.

What matters now is looking past the headlines. The companies drawing the most attention are no longer the only — or even the best — opportunities. The next wave of growth will come from the providers of fiber, cooling, optics, and embedded systems. These are the essential tools that AI cannot scale without.

The real money is not in chasing what’s already priced in. It’s in spotting what’s still undervalued, overlooked, and structurally necessary.